Can Alberto Puello Upset Dalton Smith on October 24th 2026?
Dalton Smith’s first defense of the WBC super-lightweight title isn’t going to be a walk in the park. Alberto Puello is a former world champion, a tricky southpaw, and the kind of opponent who can make anyone look bad. Smith will be battling an injury which caused a delay on the original date of the match, so it’s only natural to say there’s some questions about his health. Still, I believe Smith’s balance, punch selection, and growing confidence will allow him to retain the belt in Sheffield.
Puello Brings Disruption
Puello has the ability to disrupt rhythm. He’s comfortable circling, changing distance, and scoring with the straight left hand before moving away. His reach and southpaw stance can force Smith to reset, especially if Smith follows him instead of cutting off the ring. Puello has enough experience to stay calm and collected, and having competed in several high-level competition.
Puello will want Smith reaching with the right hand, stepping across himself, and walking onto counters. He’s unlikely to stand in front of the champion for long stretches, so Smith may have to win rounds through discipline rather than volume.
Why I Favor Smith To Win
Against Subriel Matias, Smith remained calm under pressure. That victory wasn’t just about power. Smith controlled range, picked his moments, and punished Matias when the openings appeared. Puello presents a completely different challenge, but Smith has the tools to adjust. His jab to the chest can slow Puello’s movement, while the right hand to the body should give him a safer target than constantly head-hunting against a moving southpaw.
He shouldn’t chase a knockout, but his body work and short right hand could gradually make Puello less willing to exchange. If Smith stays patient, keeps his lead foot outside Puello’s, and avoids loading up, he can take control over the second half of the fight.
Tough Fight for Smith
I expect Puello to give Smith problems early with his movement, southpaw angles, and quick straight left hand. He could easily bank a few of the opening rounds while Smith tries to figure out the distance. Once Smith settles in, though, I see him closing the space, timing Puello as he moves out, and landing the cleaner, harder shots. Puello is skilled and durable enough to make it to the final bell, but I don’t think he’ll do enough offensively to stop Smith from pulling ahead in the second half.
Final Prediction
Though it won’t be easy, Smith should be able to pull off a decision. Puello’s southpaw movement and experience should keep the fight competitive, and there may be stretches when the champion looks frustrated. Over 12 rounds, though, Smith’s accuracy, physical strength, and ability to make adjustments will be the ultimate determinant of the fight.
Dalton Smith by unanimous decision, with scores in the 116-112 or 117-111 range.
Key Takeaways
· Puello’s southpaw angles, movement, and straight left hand could give Smith problems in the early rounds.
· Smith needs to stay patient, cut off the ring, and attack Puello’s body instead of chasing his head.
· Smith’s accuracy, physical strength, and ability to adjust should help him take control in the second half.
· Puello is durable enough to go the distance, but Smith should land the cleaner and harder punches.
· Final pick: Dalton Smith by unanimous decision.
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